Sell on the news, differences of investor opinion, short-sales constraints and returns around earnings announcements: Evidence from the Stock Exchange of Thailand
Keywords:
Short Sale, Earnings Announcements, Investor Opinion, Stock Exchange of ThailandAbstract
Miller’s (1977) hypothesis states that stocks with differences of investor opinion and short-sales constraints are overvalued. We study the effects of differences of investor opinion and short-sales constraints on excess returns around earnings announcement dates using a unique setting from the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) which offers distinct short-sales constraints. Our results show that stocks with higher differences of investor opinion have lower excess returns around earnings announcement dates. In addition, we find astronger effect on the stocks that have short-sale constraints. Using the short-sales restriction imposed by the SET, and actual short-sale transaction as the proxies for short-sales constraints, we find that stocks with higher differences of opinion experience even lower returns. Our findings are robust even after controlling for various stock specific variables. This paper provides additional empirical evidence for Miller’s (1997) hypothesis.
References
Baik, B., Kang, J.-K. and Kim, J.-M. (2010). 'Local institutional investors, information asymmetries, and equity returns.' Journal of Financial Economics 97: 81-106. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2010.03.006
Berkman, H., Dimitrov, V., Jain, P. C., Koch, P. D. and Tice, S. (2009). 'Sell on the news: Differences of opinion, short-sales constraints, and returns around earnings announcements.' Journal of Financial Economics 92(3): 376-399. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2008.04.009
Brown, L. D. and Han, J. C. Y. (1992). 'The impact of annual earnings announcements on convergence of beliefs.' Accounting Review 67: 862-875.
Cakici, N., Fabozzi, F. J. and Tan, S. (2013). 'Size, value, and momentum in emerging market stock returns.' Emerging Markets Review 16: 46-65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2013.03.001
Chen, H.-Y., Chen, S.-S., Hsin, C.-W. and Lee, C.-F. (2014). 'Does revenue momentum drive or ride earnings or price momentum?' Journal of Banking & Finance 38: 166-185. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.09.021
Chudek, M., Truong, C. and Veeraraghavan, M. (2011). 'Is trading on earnings surprises a profitable strategy? Canadian evidence.' Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 21(5): 832-850. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2011.06.004
Diether, K. B., Malloy, C. J. and Scherbina, A. (2002). 'Differences of opinion and the cross section of stock returns.pdf.' The Journal of Finance 57: 2113-2141. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00490
Harris, M. and Raviv, A. (1993). 'Differences of opinion make a horse race.' Review of Financial Studies 6: 473-506. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/5.3.473
He, H. and Wang, J. (1995). 'Differential information and dynamic behavior of stock trading volume.' Review of Financial Studies 8: 919-972. https://doi.org/10.3386/w5010
Jegadeesh, N. and Titman, S. (1993). 'Returns to buying winners and selling losers Implications for stock market efficiency.' The Journal of Finance 48: 65-91. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04702.x
Kim, O. and Verrecchia, R. E. (1991). 'Market reaction to anticipated announcements.' Journal of Financial Economics 30(2): 273-309. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(91)90033-G
Lamont, O. and Frazzini, A. (2007). 'The earnings announcement premium and trading volume.' National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper. https://doi.org/10.3386/w13090
Miller, E. M. (1977). 'Risk, uncertainty, and divergence of opinion.' The Journal of Finance 32: 1151-1168. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1977.tb03317.x
Nagel, S. (2005). 'Short sales, institutional investors and the cross-section of stock returns.' Journal of Financial Economics 78(2): 277-309. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2004.08.008
Pontiff, J. and Schall, L. D. (1998). 'Book-to-market ratios as predictors of market returns.' Journal of Financial Economics 49: 141-160. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(98)00020-8
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.